Shaky

Joined: 6th July 2008

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Shaky
Algernon wrote:
Pentax need to push like mad on the APS-C front to get back in the top 20 ratings... unfortunately the forums aren't helping with all the bickering about FF
I agree with you completely on the first point, Algi.

But on the second part I humbly submit you ascribe waaaaay too much importance to the impact of what is said on these forums on what actually goes on in the market place.

Camera buyers are influenced by numerous factors from which side of the bed they get out of to whether the wife is presently of a bright and sunny disposition.

Purchase decisions involve highly complex social interactions and it is just not realistic to suppose that forum chit-chat is more or less influential than the myriad of other more or less trivial factors involved.

However, such a belief is nevertheless widespread and is closely linked to what the philosopher Karl Popper refers to as the conspiracy theory of society. It is interesting stuff, you should read up on it.

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 14/10/2012 - 19:00

Shaky
Pentaxophile wrote:
Algernon wrote:
McGregNi wrote:
Surely the 645 is a largely specialist / extreme minority type of item?.....
So is a FF I think the Nikon 600 and 800's were somewhere in the 50's in the Japanese top sellers last week. Mind you the Pentax K-30 was in there with them.
Precisely. The 600 and 800 are expensive and high end pieces of kit, yet are selling better than Pentax's 'mass market' offering. That has to tell you something.
An apples to oranges comparison.

What this is in fact saying is that Nikon's market share is so relatively dominant that their high-end niche products are outselling Pentax's mass-market offerings.

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 14/10/2012 - 18:48

Shaky
McGregNi wrote:
But to generate these significant profits they are going to have to therefore attract good numbers of system switchers or new starters to their FF offer.
Bingo. Otherwise they are merely to a large extent cannibalising APS C sales.
McGregNi wrote:
the real money will still be made in more consumer / popular areas of the market.
Depends on what you mean by popular. At the bottom end/mass market price competition is fierce and profitability poor. Interchangeable lenses combined with market share is key, to generate profitable lens sales from a largely captive market.

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 12/10/2012 - 17:18

Shaky
McGregNi wrote:
Shaky, you may have answered my question above about how to tell which DA lens will work on FF - are you saying that all the Limiteds have a full frame image circle?
Nope. Strictly speaking the newer ones with 'DA' somewhere in the name are intended for APS C. You might nevertheless find individuals asserting that these will also cover a full frame sensor, but the question is whether the IQ is any good, and I certainly haven't seen any formal tests on that.

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 12/10/2012 - 17:12

Shaky
McGregNi wrote:
As far as the FF model is concerned, I imagine profits-wise it would be a fairly small part of the mix - isn't the main part of the market moving towards CSCs and bridge style cameras?
The FF segment of the market is small in volume terms but is much more important in terms of value and profit. More so because FF customers are additionally likely to sink a great deal of money into expensive FF glass, significantly enhancing the overall attractiveness of the segment.

But this is a serious problem for Pentax, who effectively stopped developing FF glass maybe 10 years ago. If they want to have even a rudimentary lens lineup I would have thought they need to introduce at least 3 zoom lenses to compliment the existing FF limiteds. Needless to say this significantly increases the financial risk of entering the FF segment, in terms of the investment required.

On the other hand if they go with just the existing Limited lenses as the Pentax guy appears to suggest is a possibility, the appeal of the FF offering to potential system switchers would IMO be greatly reduced, regardless of the wider issues regarding aftermarket service.

Furthermore, because of Pentax’s admirable if commercially suicidal commitment to backwards lens compatibility, there is a load of fairly high quality glass potentially available on the second hand market; again this reduces demand for new FF glass and the potential for Pentax to generate an acceptable return on investment.

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 12/10/2012 - 15:10

Shaky
Hmmm. I would hypothetically speaking be interested in a Pentax 2013 model FF camera.

I have quite a few lenses that would be well suited to FF, and had in any case decided to do nothing before the new generation of Sony sensors are introduced next year promising a major step up in capabilities.

However, trying to parse the comments in the OP’s quote I am far from convinced that a FF market introduction is ‘confirmed’. Of course these translated interviews are never masterpieces of clarity, but as far as I can see he confirms they have a development program in progress, albeit so far lacking in for example a sensor. He then seemingly goes on to say that it is a law of nature that this invariably leads to a market introduction, but of course that is complete nonsense.

We shall see. . .

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax FF DSLR - confirmed at 12/10/2012 - 13:49

Shaky
First of all this transaction is far from a merger. Sony will take a stake of around 11.5% in Olympus, which is in the range of a typical Japanese cross-shareholding, used to cement relationships and serve as an anti-takeover defense. Undoubtedly the latter is a handy thing for Olympus given the recent corporate scandals.

Secondly the substance of the deal is related to medical devices:

Quote:
The two companies will set up a joint venture by the end of this year to develop, make and sell new endoscopes and other medical devices. Sony will hold 51 percent of the venture and Olympus 49 percent.
Source: Bloomberg:
Sony to Buy Olympus Stake as Hirai Seeks Revival From Losses

Comment by Shaky posted on Sony and Olympus Merger at 28/09/2012 - 17:33

Shaky

Comment by Shaky posted on Tony Aylen at 21/09/2012 - 10:47

Shaky
Quote:
This Is the Oldest Record In History—Scanned and Recreated From a Photo

Sometime in 1889, Emile Berliner recorded the first album in the history of the world. Then, that record by the father of the gramophone was destroyed. Today, Patrick Feaster, a sound historian at Indiana University, recreated the album using just a printed photograph of the album. His technique defies belief.

Full Story

Comment by Shaky posted on In the next version of Photoshop? at 30/06/2012 - 09:26

Shaky
George Lazarette wrote:
Why exactly do you think Ricoh would buy a brand with no future?

What would be the business case?

Do you think perhaps that all the Ricoh directors had shares in Hoya, and thought it would be a good idea to boost Hoya at the expense of their own company?

Please advise. I am fascinated by your thought processes.

G
George, your sarcasm betrays a lack of understanding of basic Japanese business customs.

In fact there are various plausible reasons why Ricoh might have acquired Pentax without the intention of running it for the long term, but I’m not going to elaborate on that and will instead give them the benefit of the doubt.

However, I am convinced that their commitment is contingent on turning around profitability in the medium term. Or do you think the directors of Ricoh are running a charity?

Comment by Shaky posted on Pentax Ricoh future at 30/05/2012 - 17:54

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