How long before DSLRs become extinct?

Anvh
Posted 12/07/2011 - 23:41 Link
Don wrote:
say that when the environmental lobbiests get there way and cutting down a tree to make paper to print a book winds up costing so much, the consumer has to pay $1000.00 retail for a 32 page comic book!
I'll just make my own damn paper then
Stefan
Comment Image

K10D, K5
DA* 16-50, DA* 50-135, D-FA 100 Macro, DA 40 Ltd, DA 18-55
AF-540FGZ
Don
Posted 12/07/2011 - 23:44 Link
Anvh wrote:
Don wrote:
the question is... (and the market will answer); "How much does it cost?"
Well EVIL have an EVF, how much does that cost?

Besides that, when i'll go out shooting all day how many batteries will i need with an evil camera and how many with a DSLR... how much will those extra batteries cost me.
right now a set of rechargable nickle metalhydrates costs about the same as two sets of name brand alkalines cost six years ago... but can be recharged 100 times..

apples retina display for the iphone is close to the cost of the glass in the pentaprism of your camera. optical glass is expensive....
Fired many shots. Didn't kill anything.
Edited by Don: 12/07/2011 - 23:46
RioRico
Posted 13/07/2011 - 00:49 Link
Newer imaging systems and other technologies WILL come along. 3D/Holo, ultra-res, the high-speed video mentioned, extended spectra, light-field, minisensor arrays, much that I can't even think of. We currently use cameras still designed around filmic models. But we'll have more ways to capture, torture, disseminate, and display images Real Soon Now. How soon? I don't know. But even when the new devices are widely used, SLRs will still live. Hay, some people still use wet-plate technology! And blacksmiths will always make a living. Think of your dSLR as a horseshoer's anvil...
:
: Too many film & digital cameras & lenses, oh my!
:
japers45
Posted 13/07/2011 - 08:08 Link
I am very happy with my DSLR and I honestly cannot see me needing to upgrade from a K5 at all. Therefore by the time it bites the dust I may find a direct replacement is no longer for sale- maybe 10 years?.

I think manufacturers business plan preclude the launch of a "revolutionary" design because they need the profit that incremental improvements bring- I imagine Canon and Nikon and Sony could show us the camera intended for launch in 10 years time if they wanted to. That would be an interesting half hour!

The only thing that could rock this boat is a new player in the market, they would need a very big cheque book.

So slow evolution. Pentax must make most of their money from k mount lenses lets hope this continues for a very long time.
helios
Posted 13/07/2011 - 14:07 Link
japers45 wrote:
I am very happy with my DSLR and I honestly cannot see me needing to upgrade from a K5 at all. Therefore by the time it bites the dust I may find a direct replacement is no longer for sale- maybe 10 years?.
Of course you may not NEED a new camera in the next ten years but if you are like most of us you will probably WANT the next shiny new innovation that comes along. The camera companies would all go bust if everyone had a ten year replacement cycle.
Archie
japers45
Posted 13/07/2011 - 15:03 Link
you saw straight through me Helios!

I have just recovered from a bout of LBA. I am determined not to buy anything else because it is silly to do so and hurts my bank balance too much.

In the last 4-5 months I have acquired a Sigma 10-20 4-5.6, Pentax DA17-70 f4 and Pentax DA*50-135. The latter 2 used from the forum.

That should be all I need!

Who am I kidding.

I should have gone for stamp collecting
Anvh
Posted 13/07/2011 - 18:52 Link
Don wrote:

apples retina display for the iphone is close to the cost of the glass in the pentaprism of your camera. optical glass is expensive....
EVF also have optics in them for the diopter, it's only missing the prisma and i've no idea what the price is off that.

But back to the topic, EVIL will not replace DSLR because of the simple reason that something like your mobile phone will over take it most likely... and who knows what the future hold.
They are already capable to retrieve an image that you see so it might be only a matter of time before everything is build in...
Stefan
Comment Image

K10D, K5
DA* 16-50, DA* 50-135, D-FA 100 Macro, DA 40 Ltd, DA 18-55
AF-540FGZ

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